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论文编号:942 
作者编号:2120072041 
上传时间:2009/6/3 16:45:01 
中文题目:基于亚太地区的我国入境旅游客源  
英文题目:The reaserch of developing str  
指导老师:徐虹 
中文关键字:亚太地区;入境旅游客源市场;影 
英文关键字:The Asia-pacific Area;inbound 
中文摘要: 亚太地区作为我国主要旅游客源地,在我国入境旅游客源市场中占有重要地位。本文将定量分析与定性分析相结合,根据客源市场特征及影响因素分析,预测未来五年的发展态势,最后得出目前我国在亚太地区入境旅游客源市场开发中所存在的问题,并提出相应开拓策略,以期为我国亚太地区入境旅游客源市场的开拓贡献绵薄之力。 本文开篇介绍了选题背景、相关概念和统计说明,并在对国内外相关研究进行综述的基础上,进一步阐述了本文的研究目的、研究方法和写作框架。 首先,本文结合亚太地区入境旅游统计数据,分别从总量特征和具体特征两个方面对旅游客源市场进行分析。在总量特征方面,以旅游接待量和市场分散程度将亚太地区入境旅游客源市场的发展划分为三个阶段;在具体特征方面,分别从时间、空间、人口统计和游客的市场行为四个方面予以阐述。市场特征分析为本文的基础,为后文发现问题并提出开拓策略作铺垫。 其次,本文通过对影响客源市场的一般因素分析,引出我国亚太地区入境旅游客源市场的具体影响因素。文章从亚太地区国际旅游环境、旅游客源地、旅游目的地、媒介因素四个方面加以阐述,并且引入旅游目的地竞争者市场行为,这是以往研究所涉及不到。该部分对未来影响旅游客源市场的相关因素进行分析,为第四部分趋势预测和第五部分开拓策略提供依据。 再次,本文引入波士顿竞争态模型,结合2002-2008年统计数据,分析各主要客源国在我国亚太地区整体入境旅游客源市场中所处的竞争态势。通过ARMR模型建立时间序列,运用Eviews统计软件对未来五年我国亚太地区五大客源国入境旅游者人次分别加以预测。 最后,本文基于以上分析,指出目前我国亚太地区入境旅游客源市场开发中所存在的问题,并从宏观战略和微观策略两个方面提出开拓建议。宏观战略涉及形象、品牌、营销和区域合作;微观部分则根据市场特征和竞争态分析对细分市场进行目标定位,并据此提出逐级开发、重点培育的开拓策略。  
英文摘要: The Asia-pacific Area takes an important part in inbound tourism market of China. Combined the methods of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, the thesis summarizes the development stage of inbound tourism market of China in the Asia-pacific Area, and describes a general predict of the arrivals in China in the next five years, which is based on the market character research and some influence elements analysis. At last, the thesis put up some problems involved in the market exploit at present, and set up some solutions. At the beginning, the writer mainly makes an introduction of the background, relevant concept and statistics interpretation, then describes the research objective on the basis of a review of the literature on inbound tourism in Asia-pacific Area, and outlines the framework of this study. First, the writer summarizes the development stages from the degrees of inbound arrivals and market concentration, according to the total characters of inbound tourism market, and analyzes the specific characters from four aspects. Second, the writer concerns on the influence elements from the Asia-pacific international tourism environment, origin countries, destination countries both China and other competitors, and media aspects. Third, by using approaches of tourism market competition state model and ARMR model, the writer distinguishes four different kinds of market, and gives us a general predict of the first five origin countries in next five years. Finally, the writer reveals some problems involved in the market exploit at present, and put up some solutions including the macro-strategies and specific suggestion.  
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