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论文编号：	6327
作者编号：	2120122514
上传时间：	2014/6/8 10:15:36
中文题目：	基于粗糙集的冲突分析模型研究
英文题目：	Research on Conflict Analysis Model Based on Rough Set Theory
指导老师：	安利平副教授
中文关键字：	冲突分析，粗糙集，偏好
英文关键字：	Conflict analysis, Rough set theory, Preference
中文摘要：	作为现代社会中一种及其常见的现象，冲突可能发生在生活中的方方面面。由于冲突存在的广泛性和其潜在的巨大破坏性，对进行研究并寻去解决冲突的方法就显得异常重要。冲突分析理论便由此而来。但是，传统的冲突分析理论以博弈论为基础。因此其对于复杂的冲突系统的处理就显得力有未逮。 对于复杂的冲突系统，各方关注的不仅是冲突问题的走势，同时还有局中各方的关系。与此同时，冲突系统也是信息系统。随着冲突的发展，各方在不同问题上的态度日益明显。而这些表态就构成了划分各方关系的基础。因此，通过粗糙集理论以各局中人的不同态度为基础进行联盟划分就体现了与传统冲突分析理论的区别。而粗糙集理论作为知识发现和数据分析的工具，与博弈论相比也有着诸多的区别，其本身也存在一定缺陷。 在冲突分析理论对冲突的定义中，很重要的一部分就是各方的利益存在不一致性。因此，本文对传统的粗糙集分析模型进行改进，将不同问题对各局中人的偏好引入模型。这种偏好以冲突问题为局中人带来的利益为基础。通过计算加权的冲突程度得到的各方关系不再满足对称性，即双方由于利益的不同会对彼此关系有着不同的看法。加入偏好属性不仅使得局中人关系的定位更加准确，也揭示了更多关于系统的信息。 本文将改进模型应用于全新的朝核问题，将对数据的分析扩展为包含问题定义的完整研究过程。这种对新问题的研究脱离了以往研究中拘泥于中东冲突问题的弱点。
英文摘要：	As a common social phenomenon, conflicts occur in all aspects of life. Because of the universality and huge potential damage,it is important to study and resolve the conflicts. For that reason, Conflict analysis theory is created. However, the traditional theory of conflict analysis are based on game theory. As a result, processing complex conflict system efficiently becomes impossible. For complex system, it is not only the conflict issues being concerned, as well as the relationship between the parties. At the same time, the conflict system is also information system. With the development of the conflict, attitudes of different parties on the questions become increasingly apparent. And these statements will form the division of the relationship between the parties. Therefore, classifying alliance based on different attitudes through rough set theory is different from traditional conflict theory. And rough set theory as the tool of knowledge discovery and data analysis, compared with the game theory, has a lot of difference and defects. In the definition of conflict, an important part is the inconsistency of interests of different parties. Therefore, this article improves the traditional rough set model, introducing the preference of different parties into the model. This preference for conflict is based on the benefits of players. By calculating the weighted degree of conflict , the relationship between the parties no longer meet the symmetry. Due to the different interests of both sides, parties have different opinions on their relations with each other. Preference attributes improves the accuracy of the positioning of the different parties and reveals more information about the system. This paper applies the improved model on the DPRK nuclear issue, expanding analysis of the data to the entire research process including problem definition. The study of new problems breaks away from weakness limited by Middle East problem.
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