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论文编号：	4415
作者编号：	2220100588
上传时间：	2012/6/8 13:24:42
中文题目：	F公司迁厂项目的风险管理研究
英文题目：	F Ltd. Plant Relocation Project Risk Management Research
指导老师：	程莉莉
中文关键字：	迁厂项目，项目风险管理，风险识别，风险度量，风险应对管理计划
英文关键字：	Plant Relocation Project, Project Risk Management, Risk Identification, Risk Measurement, Risk Management Plan, Risk Response Plan
中文摘要：	随着我国改革开放的进一步深入和经济发展进程的加快，我国的宏观经济环境发展态势良好，经济开发开放政策逐步完善，使得众多先期投资国内的跨国型制造业企业纷纷追加投资、扩大生产，选新址、建新厂，以期更好地发挥我国生产成本和人力资源成本优势，满足企业扩大生产规模提高销售收益的目标。在众多制造型企业选新址、建新厂的迁厂项目管理研究中，以研究投建和建设期间工程项目的风险管理论文为数较多，而以研究在迁厂过程中由于迁厂所产生的工厂生产交货对供应链的影响产生的风险和由特殊高新技术制造业企业在迁厂过程中所面临的厂务技术设施风险的管理论文却鲜有寥寥。本文正是以F公司迁厂项目为例，根据项目风险管理理论，针对该公司迁厂项目中的风险，从项目风险识别、风险度量和风险应对措施几大方面进行了深入研究。其中对项目中主要面临的工厂生产交货能否满足供应链需求的风险和迁厂过程中厂务设施能否满足工厂正常生产要求的风险进行了详尽的研究和论述，同时对新厂生产能力客户认证资格批准的风险和迁厂过程中工厂生产计划及工厂订单运营系统的风险也进行了识别、度量和应对规划的管理研究。本文在对F公司迁厂项目的风险识别、度量和应对措施的研究和讨论中，在项目风险识别阶段运用了检查表法、现场调查法和头脑风暴法对项目可能存在的风险进行了风险分类列表、风险来源分析和风险影响因素分析，以及风险涉及相关组织的分析；在风险度量过程中运用了风险期望值法，通过对风险发生的可能性和风险发生后果的严重程度分别进行风险评级，相乘得出项目风险期望值，然后依据风险期望值的大小对识别出项目风险进行控制优先排序，得出风险优先序列，从而为风险应对措施的制定提供依据；最后在风险应对过程中，依照项目风险管理计划，结合项目风险应急措施，根据实际项目风险的发展变化情况，制定出施于各个具体项目风险应对计划，并明确项目风险管理的组织保证和控制责任。
英文摘要：	Along with the further reform and opening-up policy and the speed-up of economic development situation of China, the macroeconomic environment of China is getting better and better. The economic development policies is gradually improved to a even better shape than the years before, which makes lots of multinational manufacturing enterprises that had been invested in China since the very beginning stage of China reform and opening-up, put the additional investment into China for re-build their plant to a bigger manufacturing center or move their original plant to a brand new area for capacity expansions, productivity improvements, much higher gross margin chasing and sales revenue maximization, with the competitive operational cost and human resource cost in China. Among most of plant relocation projects that manufacturing enterprises move their original plants to a brand new area with new plants build-up, the project risk management researches are mostly focusing on the risk management during the construction stage of plant build-up, rarely focusing on the risk management of the fulfillment risk of supply chain requirement to the plant on-time delivery and rarely focusing on the risk management comes from some high-tech manufacturers’ unique requirements on the facility system support. This research is simply the one that focuses on the project risk management of the risks come from the supply chain requirement fulfillment of factory on-time delivery and the risks come from the unique facility system support of high-tech manufacturer, based on the plant relocation project of F Ltd. This research also covers the project risks come from the new plant capability customer announcement and customer approval, also covers the project risks come from the plant production schedule planning and factory demand planning operation system during the plant relocation project. All the project risks of this research are based on the risk management methodology of Risk Identification, Risk Measurement and Risk Response Plan. By applying the methodologies of Literature Study, Model Analysis and Case Study, using the plant relocation project of F Ltd. as example, I did the researches and brought up the discussion of project risks identification, project risks measurement, project risks response plan and project risk monitoring and control. During the phase of project risks identification, the Checklist Methodology, Field Investment Methodology and Brainstorming Methodology had been applied for risk identification; during the phase of project risk measurement, the Loss of Expectation Methodology had been applied, which uses the possibility level of risk happening and the affect level of risk damage to the project, to come out the loss of expectation score for risk measurement, and to make a risk measurement priority list for the following steps of risk response plan making and risk monitoring and control; during the phase of project risk monitoring and control, implement the risk control for every single risks, nail down the risk control responsibility to individual responders, determine the risk control timing and monitor the risk control result that is in accordance with the project risk monitoring and control plan.
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