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| 论文编号： | 3223 | |
| 作者编号： | 2120082639 | |
| 上传时间： | 2011/6/5 9:43:16 | |
| 中文题目： | 人民币汇率变动下的企业风险管理研究 | |
| 英文题目： | The Risk Management of Enterprise With RMB Exchange Rate | |
| 指导老师： | 马君潞 | |
| 中文关键字： | 巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应 汇率风险 企业决策 汇率避险机制 | |
| 英文关键字： | Balassa - Samuelson effect the exchange rate risk business decisions Exchange rate hedging mechanism | |
| 中文摘要： | 05年汇率机制改革以来，人民币汇率波动弹性正逐渐加大，升值呼声日趋高涨，与此对应的是我国的大部分企业，刚刚进入国际贸易的舞台，应对汇率风险的经验明显不足，本文旨在通过汇率变动原因与汇率风险应对办法的分析，一方面通过对巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应的分析和修正以揭示我国人民币汇率变动的深层次原因，并作出相应预测；另一方面则通过建立企业汇率风险反应模型，论述企业如何操作才能有效规避汇率风险以使效益最大化，最后对目前我国规避汇率风险的主要手段一一进行阐述分析，希望由此加强企业对汇率风险变动原因和汇率风险的理解，并协助企业作出正确的汇率风险应对策略。 文章主体结构分为三章,分别从企业汇率风险产生原因、呈现现象、规避方法等方面进行阐述。 本文的创新之处主要在于将汇率变动，企业反应模型，汇率风险应对措施三者联合起来进行分析，结合我国实际情况，对巴萨效应假设进行修正，并在避险方式的选择上将目光扩展到内生性避险和企业汇率风险管理制度建设 | |
| 英文摘要： | From the mechanism reformed of exchange rate in 2005, the RMB exchange rate volatility elasticity has increased gradually, and this corresponds to most of the enterprises in China, has just entered the arena of international trade, exchange rate risk should experience significantly less.This paper aims to the analysis of reasons of exchange rate movements and responses of exchange rate risk , on the one hand through the Balassa - Samuelson effect analysis and correction of the RMB exchange rate movements to reveal the underlying causes, and make the corresponding prediction; the other hand, through the establishment of corporate response model of exchange rate risk, discusses how enterprises can avoid exchange rate risk in order to maximize the benefits effectively.Finally, for analysis the primary means to avoid the current exchange rate risk one by one, hoping thereby to strengthen the understanding of the risk of reasons for enterprises to exchange rate risk and exchange rate changes , and to assist companies to make the right strategies in the background of exchange rate risk. The main structure of the article is divided into three chapters, respectively, causes exchange rate risk from the enterprise, presents the phenomenon, to avoid the described methods. The main innovations of this thesis is to exchange rate movements, corporate response model, exchange rate risk response analysis of the three together, combined with China's actual situation, the revised assumptions of Balassa - Samuelson effect, and the choice of hedging method will be extended to endogenous exchange rate hedging and risk management system construction business. | |
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