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论文编号：	15411
作者编号：	2320213741
上传时间：	2025/6/10 18:43:37
中文题目：	J公司风电项目投资收益提升策略研究
英文题目：	Research on Strategies to Enhance Investment Returns of Wind Power Project of Company J
指导老师：	齐岳
中文关键字：	风电项目；投资收益；内部收益率；模糊综合评价法
英文关键字：	Wind power projects; Income from investment; Internal rate of return; Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method
中文摘要：	风电作为清洁环保的可再生能源，在支撑我国能源安全、环境安全与产业安全中扮演着关键角色。随着 “双碳”战略深入实施，风电产业实现跨越式发展。截至2024年底，风电累计装机容量约为5.2亿千瓦，相较2020年底的2.8亿千瓦，累计增加2.4亿千瓦，年复合增长率达16.79%。据中国可再生能源学会预测，到2030年我国风电累计装机量将突破10亿千瓦，2050年有望达到30亿千瓦，持续释放万亿级投资空间。然而，随着风电装机规模的激增，电网消纳压力加剧，局部地区限电率攀升。叠加新能源全面市场化导致的电价波动，风电项目投资收益不确定性增加。 本文从实践出发，以J公司2021年开工建设的YA项目为案例。首先，运用动态评价法对项目内部收益率和净现值等指标进行计算。然后，与立项数据进行对比，判断是否实现投资预期。再次，运用基于AHP的模糊综合评价法对项目投资收益指标进行评价，判断收益效果。通过上述评价，得出YA项目投资收益偏弱。最后，剖析项目投资成本和收入状况，得出其投资收益偏低的主要原因为：①项目投资地区限电比例高，调峰费用金额大，削弱项目盈利能力；②项目精益化管理不足，风资源评估不准确，工程进度滞后，影响项目创收能力；③项目融资金额小、融资期限短、融资利率高，制约自有资金收益能力。 本文以项目投资视角，结合J公司YA风电场投资收益不足问题，为其后续风电项目投资提出以下收益提升策略：①依托区位理论创新应用场景，破解消纳难题，提升盈利能力；②运用全生命周期管理理论，对项目在开发、建设和运营各个阶段进行精细化管理，提高项目创收能力；③基于优序融资理论构建多层次融资体系，采用绿色融资渠道，充分发挥财务杠杆作用，提升自有资金收益能力。同时根据以上收益提升策略，设计了符合J公司实际状况的保障措施。 通过本文的研究，为J公司和与之相似的新能源投资企业在风电项目开发、建设和运营过程在投资收益提升上提供借鉴，助力企业实现投资目标，避免投资损失，同时为风电行业的健康、有序和可持续发展贡献绵薄之力。 关键词：风电项目；投资收益；内部收益率；模糊综合评价法
英文摘要：	Wind power, as a clean and environmentally friendly renewable energy source, plays a key role in supporting China's energy security, environmental security, and industrial security. With the deepening implementation of the "dual carbon" strategy, the wind power industry has achieved leapfrog development. As of the end of 2024, the cumulative installed capacity of wind power is about 520 million kilowatts, an increase of 240 million kilowatts compared to 280 million kilowatts at the end of 2020, with a compound annual growth rate of 16.79%. According to the prediction of the China Renewable Energy Society, the cumulative installed capacity of wind power in China will exceed 1 billion kilowatts by 2030, and is expected to reach 3 billion kilowatts by 2050, continuously releasing trillions of investment space. However, with the rapid increase in wind power installation scale, the pressure on power grid consumption has intensified, and the power rationing rate in some areas has risen. The fluctuation of electricity prices caused by the comprehensive marketization of new energy has increased the uncertainty of investment returns for wind power projects. This article starts from practice and takes the YA wind power project started construction by J Company in 2021 as a case study. Firstly, the dynamic evaluation method is used to calculate indicators such as the internal rate of return and net present value of the project. Then, the data will be compared with the project proposal to determine whether the investment expectations have been met. Once again, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based on AHP is used to evaluate the project’s investment return indicators and determine the effectiveness of the returns. Through two evaluations, it is concluded that the investment return of the YA wind power project is relatively weak. Finally, by analyzing the investment cost and income status of the project, it is found that the main reasons for the low investment return are: ①The high proportion of power restrictions in the project investment area, the large amount of peak shaving costs, and the weakening of the project's profitability; ②Insufficient lean management of the project, inaccurate assessment of wind resources, lagging project progress, and affecting the project's revenue-generating ability; ③The project financing amount is small, the financing period is short, and the financing interest rate is high, which restricts the ability of self-owned funds to generate returns. This article takes project investment as a perspective and proposes the following profit improvement strategies for J Company's subsequent wind power project investment, taking into account the insufficient investment returns of YA wind farm: ①Relying on location theory to innovate application scenarios, solve consumption problems, and enhance profitability; ②Apply the theory of full lifecycle management to finely manage projects at various stages of development, construction, and operation, and improve project revenue generation capabilities; ③Based on the theory of prioritized financing, construct a multi-level financing system, adopt green financing channels, fully leverage financial leverage, and enhance the ability to generate returns on self-owned funds. At the same time, based on the above revenue enhancement strategies, safeguard measures that are in line with the actual situation of Company J have been designed. The research in this article provides a reference for J Company and similar new energy investment enterprises in the development, construction, and operation of wind power projects to improve investment returns, help enterprises achieve investment goals, avoid investment losses, and contribute to the healthy, orderly, and sustainable development of the wind power industry. Key words: Wind power projects; Income from investment; Internal rate of return; Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method
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