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论文编号：	13176
作者编号：	2120202868
上传时间：	2022/6/7 10:24:42
中文题目：	中国地区碳金融发展水平测度及影响因素研究 ——基于省份数据的实证分析
英文题目：	Research on the Measurement of Regional Carbon Finance Development Levels and the Influencing Factors in China: Based on the Empirical Analysis of Provincial Data
指导老师：	齐岳教授
中文关键字：	碳金融；评价体系；发展水平测度；TOPSIS；影响因素
英文关键字：	carbon finance; evaluation system; development level measurement; TOPSIS; impact factors
中文摘要：	碳金融行业的发展是双碳目标实现的重要支持工具，在此背景下，全国碳排放交易体系于2021年7月正式上线交易，这标志着我国碳金融发展迈上新台阶。但同时也应关注到，我国的碳金融市场仍存在发展不充分、不平衡的问题。 在当前发展阶段，测度地区碳金融发展水平并分析影响因素不仅能够了解我国碳金融地区发展现状，还能够制定针对性政策来推动我国碳金融的协同发展。国内学者结合发展需要，在地区碳金融测度与影响因素研究领域进行积极探索并形成了丰富的理论成果，但仍存在评价体系构建的合理性不足、研究范围多集中在试点市场及数据集中在2016年以前导致实践指导性不大等问题。在影响因素方面，学界已进行了多维度的研究，但对产生影响效果的结论存在一定分歧。 文章的核心研究内容：第一，基于金融发展水平测度的理论基础和碳金融“为减少温室气体排放而进行的一系列的金融交易活动”的定义，构建了聚焦于碳金融领域的发展水平评价体系包括碳金融渗透度、碳金融可得性和碳金融作用效果三个维度，分别衡量碳金融的供给方参与碳市场项目的程度、需求方获取金融资源的便利程度以及碳金融市场资金流动产生的减排效率。第二，在理论框架下选择指标并利用变异系数法与TOPSIS法相结合的方式构建地区碳金融发展水平指数。第三，考虑到我国碳金融市场的发展历程和数据可得性，文章对除西藏外大陆地区的30个省（直辖市、自治区）2017年和2021年碳金融发展水平进行了测度并进行全面分析。第四，从经济、金融、创新、政策和人口五个维度选取七个指标，采用多元回归实证探究地区碳金融发展水平形成差异的原因。 文章的主要结论有四：第一，各省的碳金融发展水平差异巨大，存在明显地区不均衡甚至得分断层的现象。第二，由于当地实际情况不同，各省碳金融的侧重点和优势维度不同。第三，经过四年的发展，我国2021年碳金融整体发展平均水平相较2017年有所提升，地区不均衡问题得到改善。第四，产业结构、金融发展水平及地方财政支持力度是地区碳金融发展水平的关键影响因素，而以人均GDP衡量的经济发展水平的影响并不显著，这与以往研究结论不同，但更符合我国以政府和金融机构为主导的碳金融发展现状。 综上所述，文章构建了评价体系来测度全国30个省份的地区碳金融发展水平并深入探讨差异原因，为我国碳金融发展提供了一定的理论和实证支持。
英文摘要：	Promoting the development of the carbon finance industry is an important support tool to promote the achievement of the double carbon goal. In this context, the national carbon emission trading market will officially go online for trading in July 2021, marking a new step in the development of carbon finance in China. However, it should also be noted that China's carbon finance market still suffers from inadequate and unbalanced development. At the current development stage, measuring the level of regional carbon finance development and analyzing the influencing factors can not only understand the current regional development status of carbon finance in China, and formulate targeted policies to promote the collaborative development of carbon finance in China. Domestic scholars have actively explored and formed rich theoretical results in the field of regional carbon finance measurement and impact factor research in line with development needs, but there are still problems such as the lack of rationality in the construction of evaluation systems, the scope of research mostly focusing on pilot markets and the concentration of data before 2016 resulting in little practical guidance. In terms of impact factors, multi-dimensional studies have been conducted in the academic community, but there are certain differences in the conclusions on the impact effects produced. The core research contents of this paper are as follows. Firstly, based on the theoretical basis of financial development level measurement and the definition of carbon finance as "a series of financial transaction activities to reduce greenhouse gas emissions", the article constructs a development level evaluation system focusing on carbon finance, including carbon finance penetration, carbon finance accessibility, and carbon finance effect. The three dimensions of carbon finance include carbon finance penetration, carbon finance availability. and carbon finance effect, which measures the degree of participation of the supply side of carbon finance in carbon market projects, the convenience of access to financial resources on the demand side, and the emission reduction efficiency generated by the flow of funds in the carbon finance market. Secondly, we select the indicators under the theoretical framework and use the combination of the coefficient of variation method and the TOPSIS method to construct the regional carbon finance development level index. Third, considering China's carbon finance market’s development history and data availability, this paper measures the development level of carbon finance in 2017 and 2021 in 30 provinces (municipalities directly under the Central Government and autonomous regions) except Tibet and conducts a comprehensive analysis. Fourthly, seven indicators are selected from five dimensions: economy, finance, innovation, policy, and population, and multiple regressions are used to empirically explore the reasons for the formation of differences in provincial and regional carbon finance development levels. The main conclusions of the article are four: First, the level of carbon finance development varies greatly among provinces, and there is an obvious regional imbalance or even a score discontinuity. Second, due to the different local conditions, the focus and advantage dimensions of carbon finance are different among provinces. Third, after four years of development, the average level of overall development of carbon finance in China in 2021 has improved compared with 2017, and the problem of regional imbalance has been improved. Fourth, industrial structure, financial development level, and local financial support are the key influencing factors of regional carbon finance development level, while the influence of local economic development level measured by GDP per capita is not significant, which is different from the conclusion of previous studies, but more consistent with the current situation of carbon finance development led by government and financial institutions in China. In summary, the article focuses on constructing an evaluation system to measure the latest regional carbon finance development level of 30 provinces nationwide and discusses the reasons for the differences in-depth, providing some theoretical and empirical support for the development of carbon finance in China.
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