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论文编号：	1019
作者编号：	2120072057
上传时间：	2009/5/26 16:04:07
中文题目：	天津市生产性服务业与制造业的互
英文题目：	Research on Interactive Develo
指导老师：	焦媛媛
中文关键字：	生产性服务业;制造业;产业互动;<
英文关键字：	Producer Services;Manufacturin
中文摘要：	生产性服务业与制造业的互动发展、有机融合既是全球产业发展的趋势，也是中国走新型工业化道路的重要途径。但是，基于城市尺度，针对生产性服务业与制造业的互动发展关系，国内研究相对不足。 本文以天津市为例，对其生产性服务业与制造业的互动发展关系进行研究，并对两业的互动分别进行投入产出分析和计量经济学检验。首先，对生产性服务业的内涵和分类进行界定，对天津市生产性服务业进行分类，并分别回顾了生产性服务业和制造业互动发展的理论研究进展和实证研究进展。其次，对天津市生产性服务业的发展情况分别进行了总量分析、结构分析和对比分析，以及对重点生产性服务业进行分析，并对制造业的发展现状和趋势也进行了研究。在此基础上，分别运用投入产出法对天津市生产性服务业和制造业的互动进行产业关联分析、运用计量检验对其进行相互影响分析。然后，根据实证研究得到的启示，给出天津市生产性服务业和制造业互动发展的对策建议。最后，对本文进行总结，并指出了本研究的不足和后续研究建议。研究表明： 第一，天津市生产性服务业和制造业之间的确存在互动发展的关系，两者相互关联、相互影响，而且生产性服务业内部各细分行业与制造业之间也存在相互影响关系。 第二，天津市制造业对生产性服务业的中间需求结构不断提升，制造业对传统生产性服务业的中间需求下降，对现代生产性服务业的中间需求比重显著提高。不同类型的制造业对生产性服务业的中间需求结构存在明显差异。 第三，天津市生产性服务业对资源密集型制造业的中间投入趋于下降，对技术密集型制造业的中间投入趋于上升。不同类型的生产性服务业对制造业的中间投入结构也存在明显差异。 第四，天津市生产性服务业和制造业的互动发展过程中还存在一些不适宜的情况。比如，现代生产性服务业对制造业发展的贡献率要小于传统生产性服务业，而制造业的发展对现代性服务业的影响作用要小于其对传统生产性服务业的影响作用。
英文摘要：	Interactive development between producer services and manufacturing is not only a trend of global economic development, but also a path of new industrialization in China. However, based on city scale, research on the interaction is not well understood in China. As a case study of Tianjin city, the paper studies the interaction between producer services and manufacturing, applying input-output analysis and econometric test. First of all, the paper defines the content and classification of producer services, and classifies the producer services of Tianjin; and then, the paper reviews the interaction development of producer services and manufacturing in theoretical research and empirical research. Secondly, this paper analyzes Tianjin’s producer services development by total amount analysis, structural analysis, comparative analysis and focus analysis, and also studies the development status and trend of manufacturing. The paper uses input-output analysis for industry-related analysis, and econometric test for impact analysis. Based on the revelation of empirical study, the text gives advices and proposals for industrial interaction between producer services and manufacturing. Finally, the paper gives relevant conclusions and points out the following direction of research. The results could be concluded as followings: Firstly, there is interactive development relationship between producer services and manufacturing, the two industries interrelate and influence each other, and there is influence relationship between the internal producer services and manufacturing, too. Secondly, there was an uptrend of the intermediate demand structure by manufacturing from 1997-2002. The share of manufacturing on intermediate demand of traditional services was decline, yet that of knowledge-intensive services was increase obviously. Moreover, the structure of intermediate demand by different types of manufacturing was quite different. Thirdly, producer services played a key role in the upgrading of manufacturing from 1997 to 2002, whose intermediate input to resources-intensive manufacturing tended to reduce and to technology-intensive manufacturing tended to rise. Moreover, the structure of intermediate input by different types of producer services was quite dissimilar. Fourthly, there are also some inappropriate cases in the interactive development between producer services and manufacturing. Modern producer services’ contribution to manufacturing is less than traditional producer services; however, the development of manufacturing’s impact on modern producer services is less than its impact on traditional producer services.
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